1.  The country’s demographic changes favor Democrats.  The groups which are growing in size, blacks, Hispanics, Asians, all vote overwhelmingly for Democrats.  College educated  whites are also growing, though not as quickly in  number or percentage of the total voting population.  They also increasingly favor Democrats, especially women.  Non-college educated whites are as Republican as they have ever been, though the size and share of the total voting population represented by this group is declining.  Trump’s appeals on certain issues strike gold with the last group, but drive away some college educated voters, who normally are Republican.  This trend will continue, and suggest that long-term, the Republicans will have to increase their vote share among minority groups, or win back some of the college educated whites to remain a competitive national party. 2.  Florida was a pleasant surprise for...(Read Full Post)