Misleading Polls

On August 2, the Los Angeles Times ran an article with the title: "Poll Watch: More Bad Polling News for Romney." The piece's author, David Lauter, writes: "Mitt Romney's campaign, which has had a rough week so far in public polls, got more bad news Thursday as the Pew Research Center released a survey showing the number of voters with an unfavorable image of him increasing and President Obama's lead widening." Presumably, the other "bad polling news" to which Lauter alludes is the most recent Quinnipiac/CBS/New York Times poll that came out earlier in the week. According to it, Obama is leading Romney in three battleground or "swing" states: Pennsylvania, Florida, and Ohio. The problem with this narrative that Lauter and others in the Democratic-friendly "mainstream press" are laboring away at crafting is that, at the very least, it is misleading. Let's begin with the first poll.  Pennsylvania is not a swing state.  It is true that Romney hopes to be competitive there,...(Read Full Post)