Nate Silver has been collating information from the top prognosticators and finds a consensus emerging two weeks out from the election for a 50 seat GOP gain in the House:[T]here is considerable uncertainty in the forecast because of the unusually large number of House seats now in play. A gain of as large as 70-80 seats is not completely out of the question if everything broke right for Republicans. Conversely, if Democrats managed to see a material rebound in their national standing over the final two weeks of the campaign, they could lose as few as 20-30 seats, as relatively few individual districts are certain pickups for Republicans.In past weeks, we have written about the divergence between the various indicators that the model uses - for instance, the generic ballot, as compared against polls of individual districts. Increasingly, however, these metrics are falling into alignment.Some generic ballot polls have shown incremental improvement in Democrats standing - although they...(Read Full Post)