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May 24, 2011

Obama and Ahmadinejad: Increasing the chances of the 12th Imam

By Tom Trinko

The truly horrifying consequence of Obama's proposal to push Israel back to the 1967 borders would be to greatly increase the chances of Ahmadinejad's dream coming true; a huge conflict that would bring about the return of the 12th Imam.  Well, the Imam won't come but the war will be bad enough. 


With the 1967 borders Israel would have to be ready to fight an all out war with little or no warning.  That will lead to a hair trigger response by the Israelis to any perceived threat.  That's what happened in 1967 when Israel launched a preemptive strike against the Arabs.

If one believes the Arabs' claims that that attack was unjustified -- i.e., the Arabs weren't trying to attack Israel -- then it is clear proof that the 1967 borders can lead to unnecessary wars.

By trying to coerce Israel to accept borders that provide no strategic buffer while the Palestinians and their allies, like Ahmadinejad, are calling for the destruction of Israel Obama is (presumably unintentionally) dramatically increasing the risk of a major war in the Middle East.  A war that Ahmadinejad would like because in his mind it might trigger the return of the 12th Imam and a Muslim resurgence.

Any such war would be a bloodbath for the Palestinians that Obama seems so eager to help.  Even worse, however, should the Arab attackers manage to attain even a little success it would bring about the very real chance that much of the Middle East would be reduced to radioactive rubble.

Israel has the bomb, many of them in fact, and the ability to deliver them to every major Arab city.  If faced with an Arab army racing toward any major Israeli city do we really want to see what might happen?  Dropping the nukes on the Arab army would kill a lot of Israelis too, those pesky 1967 borders being so close to Israeli cities. 

The Israelis, if they were being nice, would threaten a nuclear strike unless the Arabs withdrew tout suite. But what if not all of the Arabs agree?  Ahmadinejad and the Mad Mullahs of Iran might welcome an apocalyptic conflict because they think it'll lead to world wide sharia law through the actions of the 12th Imam.

How bad would the destruction be?  Depending upon the nature of the conflict and the level of damage done to Israel, it could range from the horrible, say Tehran or Damascus turned into glowing rubble, to the unimaginable -- the Israelis knowing that the world will not support them after they use nuclear weapons, might destroy all nearby Arab countries' ability to wage war.

Reasonable people might wonder why Obama seems eager to make the world ripe for the conflict that will supposedly bring Ahmajinejad's best bud the 12th Imam back.  The answer of course is that Obama isn't a strategist.  He sides with the Palestinians because they are oppressed third worlders, Obama's father's people if you will, while those Israelis are tainted by their association with Europe.

You can read more of Tom's rantings at obvioustalk.blogspot.com