This was a district carved out for Barney by the MA legislature and is considered one of the most Democratic and liberal districts in the country.But Frank is polling below 50% and the Republican running against him, Sean Bielat, trails by only 10 points despite having terrible name recognition:Ed Morrissey: Any time an incumbent falls below 50%, it's a sign of trouble. In this case, Frank can't even blame Barack Obama, who gets mildly positive approval ratings in the district, 52/42, as does Frank himself, 53/40. In a generic ballot question, the Democrat leads here by eleven points, 44/33. Bielat gets a 24/9 approval rating, with 67% either having no opinion of him or not knowing his name at all. Yet Frank only gets 45.2% of the likely voters polled in this survey to commit to voting for him, well below the 50% needed to secure the seat. Bielat gets 36.5% of the vote, well above his name recognition value. With leaners, it becomes 48.2/38.4 Frank, closer to 50% but still short...(Read Full Post)