The victories by Republicans in two Governors races last Tuesday appear to have lifted the party's prospects in 2010 and in 2012 in the minds of voters with 58% of those surveyed by Rasmussen now believe the next President will be Republican Both Gallup and Rasmussen now show solid leads for the GOP in the generic Congressional ballot for 2010 - 4% in Gallup and 6% in Rasmussen. For Gallup, this is a 6% shift in one month, and a 10% shift in two months away from the Democrats. Nate Silver show more Democratic held Senate seats at risk in 2010 than GOP held seats. After losing a net 14 Senate seats in the 2006 and 2008 elections (plus one more due to Arlen Specter's defection), the GOP has only 40 seats in the Senate, and needs help from independents (Joe Lieberman) or conservative Democrats (Ben Nelson) to sustain a filibuster. Even a small pickup in Senate seats in 2010 would solidify the GOP's ability to block some of the statist agenda of the Obama administration. Finally, as to...(Read Full Post)