I honestly don't know how either party's caucus results will play out tonight. Usually, you can get a good idea of perhaps not a winner but at least you can figure out who's up, who's down, and who's on life support.Not with the Iowa Caucuses. Races in both parties are just too close to call. So many variables. So much volatility among the voters. And the polls are whacky.As an example, here are the final two polls out on Iowa. First, ARG:Mike Huckabee 29% (23%) Mitt Romney 24% (32%) Fred Thompson 13% (7%) John McCain 11% (11%) Rudy Giuliani 8% (6%) Ron Paul 6% (6%) Duncan Hunter 4% (2%) Undecided 4% (11%) (Number in parentheses is from ARG survey taken last week)The spread between Huckabee and Romney is the margin of error which means they are virtually tied. Note Thompson's huge bump. Is he surging? Many think so although he probably doesn't have enough juice to catch either front runner for second place. But a strong third sends him along the campaign trail - despite...(Read Full Post)