As I have done every two years for  quite some time, here are my predictions for the midterms. House of Representatives There are several dozen House races and five Senate races where one candidate or the other has a lead of 2 points or less in the most recent survey.  Picking individual winners in these House races is hazardous since there are few public polls of these districts .  Another few dozen House seats show a candidate leading by five points or less.  The great majority of the close House races are Republican-held seats, hence their vulnerability to Democrats taking over the House, where a net pickup of 23 seats is required. Most every analyst -- Larry Sabato, Stuart Rothenberg, the Cook Political Report, the Real Clear Politics average, Nate Silver’s fivethirtyeight.com, Nate Cohn in the upshot in the New York Times --  is predicting a pickup for the Democrats of more than the 23 seats needed.  Several have increased their...(Read Full Article)