Republican Senate Prospects in 2018

Republicans will gain seats in the 2018 midterm election.  The eight Republican seats up for grabs are easily defended, while Democrats will have five senators running for reelection in very red states: West Virginia, Indiana, North Dakota, Montana, and Missouri.  A pickup of five Senate seats is easy to see, and a gain of two or three is almost certain. But Republicans could do much better than that if Trump is popular two years from now and if the Republican Party is united.  Eight other Democrat Senate seats are in states where Republicans have proven surprisingly strong in recent elections:  Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Virginia, Minnesota, and New Mexico. Florida is a Republican state.  It has a Republican governor and Republican legislature and just re-elected a Republican senator.  The House delegation is overwhelmingly Republican, and all the statewide elected officials are Republicans. Ohio has almost exactly the...(Read Full Article)