February 8, 2016
The Goldilocks Approach to Global Warming
Maybe you've heard or read somewhere that all kinds of terrible disasters will happen if the (global mean surface) temperature rises just 2⁰C above the pre-industrial level; according to some datasets, we are already more than halfway there. Further, activists want to lower the threshold to 1.5⁰C -- thus advancing the date of the “apocalypse.”
Note, however, that these same activists never bother to define “mean temperature” or tell you how to measure it -- if indeed that makes sense. Temperatures vary not only geographically, mainly with latitude and altitude, but also with season, time of day, and weather conditions.
Have you ever wondered where the 2⁰C number comes from? Does it sound like the Y2K scare all over again? Well, let me tell you, because I have something to do with provoking its original publication.
In 1995, I published an article in Eos, the journal that goes to every member of the American...(Read Full Article)