Looking Forward to November

A question we're likely to hear often in the coming weeks and months is, "[h]ow will the Republicans do in the 2014 elections?" It's always risky to prognosticate about an election still eleven months away, but this essay explores the factors shaping how Americans have voted in past off-year elections held during a president's sixth year in office. I eschew commenting on political controversies for two reasons. First, most American voters have very short memories, and major issues agitating the body politic today -- e.g., ObamaCare -- may be merely minor irritants by November. Second, I don't know how Democrats will try to "change the subject" by dredging up other topics -- war-on-women, class warfare, yada, yada, yada -- but I know they'll try, and their mainstream media (MSM) stooges will help. The historical record suggests 2014 should be a good year for Republicans -- although the GOP's penchant for snatching defeat from the jaws of victory is well-known -- but not on the...(Read Full Article)