The Jewish Vote, One More Time

In the 2008 presidential race in New Jersey, Barack Obama defeated John McCain by 15.7%. In the governor's race in New Jersey two weeks ago, Republican Chris Christie defeated the incumbent Democratic Governor John Corzine by 4.3%.  In other words, the margin shift from one year to the next was 20%, a remarkable political swing in such a short period of time. In Virginia, the swing from 2008 to 2009 was even larger: from a 6.4% victory for Barack Obama in 2008 to a 17.4% victory for Republican Bob McDonnell in 2009. It should therefore come as no surprise that the Republicans did better among individual subgroups among the voting population in New Jersey and Virginia (e.g., Jewish voters) in 2009 than they did in 2008. Quite simply, had the Republicans' vote share among individual subgroups remained the same in 2009 as in 2008, the results (a GOP victory in each of the governor's races) would not have occurred.   Jewish voters are a far larger share of the total vote in...(Read Full Article)