Santorum ahead in Alabama and Tennessee

Rick Moran
The Super Tuesday polls are starting to come out and they reveal the probability that Rick Santorum will have a very good day on March 6.

Tennessee:

The poll, conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International, found that 33 percent of registered voters who are considering voting in the primary would push the button for Santorum, compared with 17 percent for Romney, a former governor of Massachusetts.U.S. Rep. Ron Paul of Texas was the favorite of 13 percent of those voters, while former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, who represented Georgia in Congress, drew just 10 percent. An additional 27 percent either said they wouldn't vote for any of the four major remaining candidates, didn't know how they would vote or refused to answer.

In Alabama, Santorum has surged to the front:

With Alabama's March 13 primary looking more and more important, Rick Santorum leads the rest of the Republican field in a poll conducted by Alabama State University. Santorum leads with 28 percent of likely GOP primary voters, while Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney trail with 18.9 percent and 18.3 percent, respectively. Texas Congressman Ron Paul was not included in the poll except for a choice for "other."

Santorum comes in second to Gingrich in Georgia, is way ahead in Ohio and Oklahoma,and still has a shot in several of the caucus states.

An estimate of delegates at this point is not possible given the various ways they will be apportioned, but it is probable based on what we know from the polls that Santorum and Romney are likely to be within a few dozen delegates of each other after Super Tuesday. Between then and the end of the nominating process, there are several winner take all primaries that will probably decide the race, including California's 150 delegate bonanza.



The Super Tuesday polls are starting to come out and they reveal the probability that Rick Santorum will have a very good day on March 6.

Tennessee:

The poll, conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International, found that 33 percent of registered voters who are considering voting in the primary would push the button for Santorum, compared with 17 percent for Romney, a former governor of Massachusetts.U.S. Rep. Ron Paul of Texas was the favorite of 13 percent of those voters, while former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, who represented Georgia in Congress, drew just 10 percent. An additional 27 percent either said they wouldn't vote for any of the four major remaining candidates, didn't know how they would vote or refused to answer.

In Alabama, Santorum has surged to the front:

With Alabama's March 13 primary looking more and more important, Rick Santorum leads the rest of the Republican field in a poll conducted by Alabama State University. Santorum leads with 28 percent of likely GOP primary voters, while Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney trail with 18.9 percent and 18.3 percent, respectively. Texas Congressman Ron Paul was not included in the poll except for a choice for "other."

Santorum comes in second to Gingrich in Georgia, is way ahead in Ohio and Oklahoma,and still has a shot in several of the caucus states.

An estimate of delegates at this point is not possible given the various ways they will be apportioned, but it is probable based on what we know from the polls that Santorum and Romney are likely to be within a few dozen delegates of each other after Super Tuesday. Between then and the end of the nominating process, there are several winner take all primaries that will probably decide the race, including California's 150 delegate bonanza.