In special election, GOP flips heavily Hispanic South Texas House seat

This qualifies as a political earthquake.  In a special primary election to fill out the term of former rep. Filemon Vela, who resigned his House seat in March, GOP candidate Mayra Flores received 50.98% of the vote, making a runoff election unnecessary.  Rep.-elect Flores will represent the Texas 34 Congressional District that runs along the Gulf Coast to the Mexican border, and which is 84.54% Hispanic.


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Hispanic voters are dumping the Democrats, a trend that has the potential to doom the party at a national level.

Rep. Flores will serve only until January but will be the incumbent when the seat is up for election in November.  However, as the Texas Tribune notes,

[t]he special election was unique in that it was held under the previous lines of the 34th District, which President Joe Biden won by only 4 percentage points. But redistricting made the district more friendly to Democrats in November, when the Democratic nominee is U.S. Rep. Vicente Gonzalez, D-McAllen.

If the new more Democratic district elects Gonzalez in November, the Dems will have a talking point to refute the trend of Hispanic voters going Republican.  But incumbents have a large advantage in most races, and Joe Biden's performance in office is a millstone around the neck of any Democrat, so a Dem win is far from a certain outcome.  And the trend is likely to continue in other districts with heavily Hispanic populations.  The loss of support among Hispanic voters is a disaster for the Democrats of gigantic significance.

The 34th District was created in 2010, so it has not been represented by a Republican for its entire existence as a separate seat.  However, the area has been represented by Democrats for over a century, according to Ryan Saavedra of The Daily Wire:

Flores is now "the first GOP candidate to represent that area of the Rio Grande Valley since 1870," the Houston Chronicle reported, adding that she is now "the first congresswoman born in Mexico."

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