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May 6, 2020
The young are not into Joe -poll
The election is six months away and we can say a few things:
1) The RCP average of polls has former Vice President Joe Biden beating President Trump by 5 points:
2) The latest "betting odds" has President Trump up by 8 points:
and most interesting;
3) The young are not into Joe.
This is from Justin Hawkins:
According to an extensive survey by the Institute of Politics at the Harvard Kennedy School of Government released in late April, only 34 percent of Americans aged 18 to 29 say they have a favorable view of the former vice president, with just 8 percent saying they have a “very favorable” opinion of Biden.
In the same survey, 47 percent of young people said they have an unfavorable view of Biden.
Although the percentage of young people who said they have an unfavorable view of President Trump was much higher (63 percent), the percent who said they have a favorable opinion of Trump was only four percentage points lower (30 percent) than Biden’s.
And, quite interestingly, more young people said they have a “very favorable” view of Trump, 14 percent.
Even worse for Biden, when asked if they would rather vote for Trump, Biden or an independent candidate in 2020, only 39 percent said they would choose Biden.
One-quarter chose Trump, and a whopping 16 percent said they would rather pick an independent.
That 16% is huge!
Of course, I'm always skeptical of anything having to do with young voters. My reason for being skeptical is that they don't always vote.
No matter what, it's not the kind of "polling data" that the Democrats want to hear.