USC-LA Times poll shows Trump slightly ahead and rising, Hillary falling

Throughout the election, the USC Dornsife/LA Times Presidential Election Poll has been an outlier, showing Trump more favorably than other polls, often by substantial margins.  It uses a radically different design and is intended in particular to show trends.  The poll describes itself as: … [a] pioneering approach to tracking changes in Americans' opinions throughout a campaign for the White House. Around 3000 respondents in our representative panel are asked questions on a regular basis on what they care about most in the election, and on their attitudes toward their preferred candidates. The "Daybreak poll" is updated just after midnight every day of the week. The poll this morning shows that Trump has reversed his decline and is ahead by a statistically insignificant fraction of one percent, 44.4% to 43.8%.  But look at the trends: The consensus throughout the media rooting for Hillary to win (95% of them) is that...(Read Full Post)

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