Conventional wisdom says Trump's a dead duck, and we all know how prescient is conventional wisdom.  Only two weeks left until election, and RealClearPolitics (RCP) puts Clinton about 6 points ahead.  So confident is Hillary (supposedly) that one newspaper now urges her to divert some from the presidential campaign and help Democrats in Senate and House races.  We should be so lucky. Back to the point.  Presidential polls are split into two camps: MSM polls and non-MSM polls.  They have starkly different characteristics and results.  MSM polls come from those you already know, and the companies themselves have already shed their last shred of dignity and objectivity to throw in with Hillary.  They also poll in discreet measure (i.e., release a poll whenever they want one to come out). Non-MSM polls are not as well known but quite accomplished (e.g., Rasmussen, LA Times/USC, IDB/TIPP – the most accurate in 2012 election, by the way)....(Read Full Post)