Shocker: CBS News and ABC/WaPo find that liberal-biased polls disfavor Trump
Two new polls came out Wednesday claiming to show GOP presidential candidate Donald Trump in trouble. But given the deep liberal bias built into both polls, the corrected findings are actually a sign that Hillary Clinton's campaign is the one in serious trouble with American voters.
The CBS News poll was conducted June 13-14 and purports to show that "Americans give the President net positive ratings on his response to the Orlando attack," while "[m]ore than half disapprove (51 percent) of presidential candidate Donald Trump's response."
High ratings for Barack Obama and low ratings for Trump? One might almost think that to get such results, the poll must be biased toward Democrats, and it is. In the weighted survey composition, just 24.9% of respondents were Republicans, compared to 32.4% Democrats and 42.8% independents. A nearly 8% advantage to Democrats over Republicans is well out of touch with reality.
Then there is the ABC News/Washington Post poll claiming that Trump's unfavorable ratings are spiking much higher in recent days. While the polling details give no information on partisan composition, some basic math allows us to arrive at the obvious conclusion of a severe liberal bias.
The poll claims that among "all" respondents, Trump has a 29% favorability rating, and for "registered voters," his favorability rating is 31%. Since the poll also shows that independents give Trump a 30% favorability rating, their views are essentially equivalent to the overall ratings. Thus, the differences from the overall ratings by the sub-groups of respondents who are Republicans and Democrats tells us how many members – in relative terms – of each political party went into the poll's final results.
In other words, because independents (30% favorability) have the same rating as the overall value (the average of 29% [all respondents] and 31% [registered voters] = 30%), the relative weighting of Republicans (65% favorability) and Democrats (5% favorability) must also equal 30%.
This means there must be 40% more Democrats than Republicans in the survey base (i.e., a relative weighting of 58.3% Dems to 41.7% GOP), which, to say the least, is nowhere near an accurate representation of the American public.
Remove that huge liberal bias, and Clinton's numbers swing around to be in far worse shape than Trump's.