Trump on track to sweep all April 26 primaries and get to 1,237 before convention

On April 26, primary voters head to the polls in Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island – bringing with them another 172 delegates up for grabs.

If the polling trends hold up, Donald Trump is set to sweep all five states.

In Pennsylvania, recent data shows Trump with between a 14% and 20% lead at 40-46% of the vote.  The Franklin & Marshall poll has Trump leading for both men and women and in all income classes.

A CBS News/YouGov poll in the state places Trump well ahead among the GOP contenders for electability in the general election (47%, vs. 24% for Ted Cruz and 29% for John Kasich), understanding of people like you (45%, vs. 28% for Cruz and 27% for Kasich), being effective at getting things done (57%, vs. 18% for Cruz and 25% for Kasich), being authentic (45%, vs. 24% for Cruz and 31% for Kasich), and being optimistic (48%, vs. 24% for Cruz and 28% for Kasich).

Some other interesting findings come out of this survey.  Only 26% of Republican supporters say the GOP platform should accept gay marriage, and a majority (53%) think the next GOP president needs to stand up to the Democrats more effectively.

For Rhode Island, there is a dearth of recent polling data.  Brown University has a dated poll from late February showing Trump with a large lead over the rest of the field and 43% support.

Polls in Connecticut have Trump at 48-50% support and a 20%-24% lead over the other candidates.  A Quinnipiac poll shows Trump winning all political philosophy groups, both men and women, and all income and education classes.

Trump holds a massive 37% lead in Delaware and is at 55% support.

In Maryland, Trump has 43-47% support and a 14-20% lead.  A Public Policy Polling dataset shows Trump winning all age groups and both genders.  A Monmouth University poll also shows Trump in the lead for both men and women.

According to the New York Times's delegate simulator, if Trump continues to maintain support in the high 40s, and Cruz and Kasich effectively split the remaining vote, Trump will get to the magical 1,237 number after the California primary under all modeled scenarios.  But even if Trump's support slips to just 40% for the remainder of the race, the NYT simulator shows Trump reaching 1,237 under all scenarios before the start of the convention.