Caucus-goers in Washington, Hawaii and Alaska flipped the metaphorical bird to the presumptive Democrat nominee for president yesterday. There is no way to soft-peddle the stunning level of rejection experienced by Hillary Clinton in these results:

Yet the conventional wisdom remains that she is a shoo-in, in part because of her lead among superdelegates, and in part because Sanders would have to win by similarly huge margins nearly everywhere, including states where blacks remain loyal to Clinton and comprise a large share of Democrat voters. By the AP’s reckoning of delegates:

Unless she is indicted, Hillary probably has the muscle to win the nomination. The key question is how many Sanders supporters will be disgusted and stay home.  Sanders almost certainly is positioning himself to take the nomination if Hillary is indicted, and will have a strong argument that the party must turn to him, not Joe Biden or some other hasty substitution.