Previously we have speculated about the next politician to join Rick Perry in the political afterlife (what you and I call the private sector). Today we have a different question: by what date must the major candidates actually win a primary or caucus to prove they are viable? Scott Walker, February 1st, Iowa: Scott Walker has got to win the Iowa Caucuses. It's not enough to be #2. Iowa borders Wisconsin. If he can't win in his own region, he can't win anywhere. Right now, he's at 3%. I personally think if he is still in single digits he will pull out before Iowa, perhaps even in the next few weeks, to avoid himself the embarrassment of such a crushing defeat. He can spend four years learning about the pros and cons of birthright citizenship and building walls with Canada and try again then. Jeb Bush, February 9th, New Hampshire: Jeb is not particularly strong anywhere but his best chance is in mushy moderate New Hampshire. New Hampshire is filled with refugees...(Read Full Post)