Prediction: Not enough votes to end the U.S. embargo on Cuba

Raúl Castro did not earn any goodwill with his speeches or arrests in Cuba since President Obama's announcement.  On the contrary, Raul Castro's behavior is confirming that lifting the Cuba embargo without major concessions is very bad policy indeed. Lifting the embargo will require 218 votes in the House and 60 in the U.S. Senate.    It will be hard, very hard, as Reuters/NY Times reported: Signaling that it will continue to suppress dissent, the government of Cuban President Raul Castro on Tuesday detained more than 50 activists, dissident leaders said, to squelch a planned gathering in Havana's Revolution Square. And dissidents reported new detentions on Thursday. The crackdown brought sharp condemnation from the U.S. State Department. All of those detained had been released by the weekend, dissidents said. There is also concern over when 53 people Washington considers political prisoners will be released and on what...(Read Full Post)