One election is over, and another one is coming.  The 2016 election will soon start taking shape as rumors and even some candidacy announcements are made in 2015. Here is my suggestion: don't make a lot of bets about 2016 a year before we hold a caucus or primary. Also, there is a lot of uncertainty in the air, as my friend Barry Casselman wrote this week: On the Democratic side, there is an early and seemingly overwhelming favorite, Hillary Clinton, but she was similarly dominant in 2007-08, before being upset by Barack Obama.  In 2015, Senator Elizabeth Warren seems to be mounting a growing campaign to replace Mrs. Clinton, and former Senator James Webb has now appeared for some serious media attention. Should Mrs. Clinton surprise everyone by deciding not to run, the bats would be cleared from the liberal belfry, and a donnybrook would likely result. Serious candidates such as Governor Andrew Cuomo of New York could then possibly get in the...(Read Full Post)