Tag Team for Futuristic Hysteria in Chicago

Thanks to Salon.com for pointing the way to a forward-looking World Meteorological Organization and Weather Channel weather report on YouTube for September 23, 2050 using "predictions from the IPCC report and the National Climate Assessment."  The weather report even features a message on the impending climate apocalypse by United Nations Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon.

These types of future weather forecasts are a new science communication low for the organizations (the WMO is a creature of the U.N.), which is quite the feat to achieve, given what we've already seen.

The part of this video I'll deal with begins at the 2:01 mark and involves a weather forecast for the Chicago area on September 23, 2050.  Chicago is experiencing a searing heat wave, with temperatures near and above the triple-digits, and is on-track for the hottest September ever.  Even the Chicago Cubs have to play at night in order to avoid the hottest part of the day in this WMO/Weather Channel futuristic vision of the Windy City.

So how realistic is this representation of routine record extreme September heat for Chicago in the year 2050?  If recent trends are any indication, not even close.  But, of course, the WMO and Weather Channel fail to mention that at all – instead apparently preferring to focus only on ultra-alarmist climate modeling predictions.

Into the NOAA National Weather Service database we go yet again to properly contextualize the hysteria.

There have been no significant trends in either the average maximum or extreme maximum temperatures for the Chicago area during September over the past century, nor since 1940, 1970, or over the past 30 years.  In recent decades, a time-series plot of Chicago's average maximum temperatures in September looks like a starry sky at night – in other words, almost perfect randomness.

For extreme maximum temperatures in Chicago during September, not only are the trends since 1914, 1940, 1970, and 1984 all non-significant, but they are also negative correlations towards cooling – not warming.  In other words, on the balance of probabilities, whatever "climate change" is doing to Chicago's climate, it is reducing the extreme heat risks during September.

Since records began in 1872, Chicago has had only 4 days at or above 100 degrees Fahrenheit during September in the last 142 years.  The last time it had one of these days was 1960, meaning that triple-digit highs in September haven't been seen for more than half a century, and they have become less common over the past century – not more common.

Same goes with days above 95 degrees.  Hasn't been one of those in Chicago during September since 1990, and the correlation over the past century – as well as in more recent decades – is negative, toward fewer of them.  Same story for days above 90.

Yet the WMO/Weather Channel video is telling us that extreme heat in Chicago during September 2050 will be common – far more common than it is now.  Interesting that the climate trends tell a very different story.

All this would be comical if the stakes weren't so high with regard to personal freedoms and economic prosperity, and if such propaganda weren't being continually employed to shape public opinion and, by extension, public policy.

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