The following alert is not meant as a smug "I told you so! Nah! Nah! Nah!"  Really!  I merely am reiterating my concerns expressed last week when I asked will all this self confidence from polling data make some Republicans lax and over confident in these final months, discourage some from not voting because victory is theirs while frightening Democrats to really, really increase their get out the vote efforts and also indulge in some of their uhm, voting chicanery? Well, unfortunately, some of my fears seem justified. Nate Silver, numbers cruncher and statistical analyst par excellence, asks and then answers on his blog fivethirtyeight: what happened to the Republican's early 64% lead of a few weeks ago? Senate Update: Democrats Draw Almost Even. Is It The Money? Now Republican chances are about 55 percent instead. We’ve never quite settled on the semantics of when to call an election a “tossup.” A sports bettor or poker...(Read Full Post)