Run Scotty, Run!

The state of New Hampshire lit up on the Big Board at RNC headquarters as another potential target for Republicans in 2014. Former Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown has formed an exploratory committee to run for the Senate in The Granite State.

Washington Times:

Former Massachusetts Sen. Scott Brown has officially launched an exploratory committee for a U.S. Senate bid in New Hampshire, giving a possible boost to Republicans looking to expand an already friendly map in their quest to flip six seats in the fall midterms and re-take control of the chamber.

“I’m a proud Republican, but I’ve always been able to work with every person of good will, whatever their party,” Mr. Brown told a crowd gathered Friday in Nashua at a Republican conference, according to prepared remarks. “And we sure need more of that spirit in Washington right now, if we’re going to rise to the big and fundamental challenges facing this nation.”

Mr. Brown said he’ll be listening even more closely to the public as he nears a “big decision and that he’s been paying attention in particular to his wife Gail, who’s been telling him if he really wants to make a difference he should jump into the race

“Starting tomorrow morning, and for the next several weeks, Gail and I will be traveling around the state to introduce ourselves, to ask questions, to speak with everyone of every background – Republicans, independents and Democrats alike – and above all to listen to them and learn of their concerns,” Mr. Brown said.

Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen appears to be in solid shape according to most public polls, but Mr. Brown’s instant name recognition and fundraising prowess would give Republicans a shot in the arm in their bid to deny Ms. Shaheen a second term. He became a folk hero among many in the GOP after winning a special election to fill the seat of the late Ted Kennedy in January 2010 in a race widely perceived to be an early rebuke of President Obama's administration.

Even before Mr. Brown’s announcement Friday afternoon, advocacy groups on both sides were already assembling their chess pieces.

American Crossroads, the Republican Super PAC associated with former George W. Bush adviser Karl Rove, is planning to launch a $600,000 ad buy next week against Ms. Shaheen, multiple outlets reported.

In response to news of that buy, the pro-choice political advocacy group EMILY’s List blasted out a fundraising missive saying that “[w]e won’t let Scott Brown buy a new seat — and we won’t let the Republicans steal back the Senate.”

In a hypothetical match-up, Ms. Shaheen leads Mr. Brown by 7.2 percentage points in RealClearPolitics’ latest average of polls on the race.

Those polls were taken when Brown was a theoretical. Now that he appears to be in, it will be interesting to see how much that margin changes.

Shaheen is vulnerable. Once American Crossroads gets through with tying her to Obamacare, her numbers will soften even more. Brown, who wanted to replace Obamacare with something less expansive, might find that the issue doesn't resonate quite as well in New Hampshire as it would in some red states. But there are plenty of Granite State Republicans and independents who know that Shaheen is partly responsible for the law and the issue should cut for Brown very nicely.

The primary is September 9.



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