AEI finds evidence -- even before the Democratic convention and its fumbles on Jerusalem as the capital of Israel -- that Jewish support for Obama has dipped considerably. While the percentage of  Jewish voters and their impact has been greatly diminished over the years, this time the dip could be meaningful in several swing states: What all these results point to is something less than a two-to-one advantage for Obama over Romney among Jewish voters, similar to the split in the Jewish vote in 1972, 1976, 1984, and 1988.  The drop-off in the Democratic percentage among Jews could be crucial, as the Republican Jewish Coalition points out, in target states like Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan-particularly Florida, where in 2008 Obama carried the heavily Jewish Broward and Palm Beach Counties by 390,145 votes, much more than his statewide margin of 236,148.  In other words, without the size of his margin in those counties, Obama would likely have lost Florida's...(Read Full Post)