Democratic 'oversampling' is a dirty trick

WikiLeaks just dropped a Democratic Party memo demanding an "oversampling" plan of all the demographic districts in the country.  But "oversampling" is a lie.  All of statistics is based on "random" sampling, which means that any voter in the population has an equal chance of being sampled, regardless of their party affiliation. 

Without random sampling, the fundamental math basis of statistics goes kablooey.  Oversampling one side or the other is an invitation to make false conclusions, and any decent scientist or statistician avoids biased sampling like the Black Plague.  No scientific journal in the world would accept an article based on biased sampling. 

Like so many Demo-mafia tactics, this one counts on voter laziness.  The Media Apparatus understands perfectly well that a single big headline, "Hillary ahead by 15 points," sways more votes than a thousand statistical details down in the small print.  Radio and TV talking heads only read the headlines.  They've never learned anything else, and they care too much about their hairdos.  Gotta be perfect.

To save appearances, therefore, polling organizations will actually tell you in their small print that Democrats in the poll were "oversampled" by 15 percent or whatever.  This is like a shyster lawyer asking you to be sure to read the fine print, knowing damned well that you don't have the time or the law school education needed to understand it. 

It's all on the up and up, see? 

We now have direct evidence of Democrat-media coordination (see here, for example).  The Mafia Media don't even bother to hide their mega-corruption, not very much.  You say "oversampling" to the average voter, and his eyes roll up into his head.  But "oversampling" means lying, cheating, and vote-stealing. 

It is massive, nationwide cheating, just as if all the polling machines were tampered with. 

"Push polling" early in an election is a way to make Democrats feel like winners and Republicans feel like losers.  People hate to lose, especially  on important things like the fate of our country.  That tactic demoralizes Republicans and boosts Democrats.  Just look at a football stadium when one team scores big, and all the winning team's fans celebrate.  As Saul Alinsky wrote, "always make sure your followers feel happy." 

That's push-polling. But in football games, you get a truthful score.   

In elections, you are lied to every single day in the weeks before the election.  As Goebbels said, "repeat the same Big Lie over and over again, and people will start to believe it."

If you look at the New York Times five-month average (all with Democrats being "oversampled"), you see Hillary winning consistently by some "yuge" margin.  And then, somehow, by some magical Act of God, the polls always converge toward election day.  It always becomes a horse race when there are only days to go. 

Darn it, it happens every single time, and nobody knows why. 

The reason is simple. Pollsters don't like to get caught cheating, and a week before the election, if they predict a Clinton win and Trump wins, they look bad.  They lose their reputations and customers.

Remember this: there are lies, Big Lies, and statistics.  Lying with statistics is easy if you are sufficiently dishonest and corrupt.  Anybody who doesn't think the Democrats are corrupt to the marrow has not been reading the news. 

Voter polls are believable only shortly before an election.  Predictive polling weeks ahead is worse than useless.

Predictive polling weeks ahead of the election is only used to manipulate your mood.  If Republicans feel like losers – as we are hearing today – they may not vote, they won't rev up enthusiasm, and the Dems are full of confidence.

It's all supposed screw with your head. 

WikiLeaks just dropped a Democratic Party memo demanding an "oversampling" plan of all the demographic districts in the country.  But "oversampling" is a lie.  All of statistics is based on "random" sampling, which means that any voter in the population has an equal chance of being sampled, regardless of their party affiliation. 

Without random sampling, the fundamental math basis of statistics goes kablooey.  Oversampling one side or the other is an invitation to make false conclusions, and any decent scientist or statistician avoids biased sampling like the Black Plague.  No scientific journal in the world would accept an article based on biased sampling. 

Like so many Demo-mafia tactics, this one counts on voter laziness.  The Media Apparatus understands perfectly well that a single big headline, "Hillary ahead by 15 points," sways more votes than a thousand statistical details down in the small print.  Radio and TV talking heads only read the headlines.  They've never learned anything else, and they care too much about their hairdos.  Gotta be perfect.

To save appearances, therefore, polling organizations will actually tell you in their small print that Democrats in the poll were "oversampled" by 15 percent or whatever.  This is like a shyster lawyer asking you to be sure to read the fine print, knowing damned well that you don't have the time or the law school education needed to understand it. 

It's all on the up and up, see? 

We now have direct evidence of Democrat-media coordination (see here, for example).  The Mafia Media don't even bother to hide their mega-corruption, not very much.  You say "oversampling" to the average voter, and his eyes roll up into his head.  But "oversampling" means lying, cheating, and vote-stealing. 

It is massive, nationwide cheating, just as if all the polling machines were tampered with. 

"Push polling" early in an election is a way to make Democrats feel like winners and Republicans feel like losers.  People hate to lose, especially  on important things like the fate of our country.  That tactic demoralizes Republicans and boosts Democrats.  Just look at a football stadium when one team scores big, and all the winning team's fans celebrate.  As Saul Alinsky wrote, "always make sure your followers feel happy." 

That's push-polling. But in football games, you get a truthful score.   

In elections, you are lied to every single day in the weeks before the election.  As Goebbels said, "repeat the same Big Lie over and over again, and people will start to believe it."

If you look at the New York Times five-month average (all with Democrats being "oversampled"), you see Hillary winning consistently by some "yuge" margin.  And then, somehow, by some magical Act of God, the polls always converge toward election day.  It always becomes a horse race when there are only days to go. 

Darn it, it happens every single time, and nobody knows why. 

The reason is simple. Pollsters don't like to get caught cheating, and a week before the election, if they predict a Clinton win and Trump wins, they look bad.  They lose their reputations and customers.

Remember this: there are lies, Big Lies, and statistics.  Lying with statistics is easy if you are sufficiently dishonest and corrupt.  Anybody who doesn't think the Democrats are corrupt to the marrow has not been reading the news. 

Voter polls are believable only shortly before an election.  Predictive polling weeks ahead is worse than useless.

Predictive polling weeks ahead of the election is only used to manipulate your mood.  If Republicans feel like losers – as we are hearing today – they may not vote, they won't rev up enthusiasm, and the Dems are full of confidence.

It's all supposed screw with your head.