Sabato's final race rankings predict a big night for Republicans

Larry Saboto has had a stellar prediction record over the 5 elections in which he has used his "Crystal Ball" blog to prognosticate.  His 98% success rate in 2010 is reason enough to give some weight to his final outlook for 2014. In a nutshell, Sabato sees a GOP gain of 8 seats in the Senate and 9 in the House.  Republicans would lose a net 3 governorships in his election scenario. Sabato never claims perfection and sees the election prediction business as a fun way to inform and educate the public: As is our longstanding tradition, we at the Crystal Ball attempt to call every election for House, Senate, governor, and in presidential years, the Electoral College. After studying these campaigns for months or years, we believe we owe you our best judgment about the outcomes. While we’re proud of our overall record over the years, we always miss a few calls, sometimes more than a few. Toss-ups are vexing, and the massive amounts of intelligence from...(Read Full Post)