Ferguson distracts from the big story: capitulation to Iran

There are no burning stores or vehicles to illustrate the drama of what just happened in the cave-in to Iran that the “extension” of talks on its nuclear enrichment program represents.  The suspended sanctions continue to be suspended, amounting to a $700 million a month gift to Ayatollah Khamenei, in the estimate of Michael Ledeen, while the centrifuges continue to whirl, producing more precursors to the nuclear arsenal Khamenei wants to use to destroy the Great Satan (us) and the Little Satan (Israel).

Khamenei’s game and America’s role as patsy are explained by Ledeen in a must-read Weekly Standard post.  Read the whole thing.  Some excerpts:

Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei walked us right up to the finish line, spat on us, and walked away. Months and months of secret and public talks, letters, back channels, and gestures produced nothing of the sort the president, assorted foreign ministers, pundits, and politicians had been predicting. Instead we are to keep talking, and keep paying the Islamic Republic for the pleasure and privilege. (snip)

Obama has been pursuing a strategic alliance with Iran since 2008, well before his inauguration and even before his election. During the election campaign he quietly dispatched retired Ambassador William Miller to Tehran to inform the mullahs that a new era in Iranian-American relations was about to begin, and the "dialogue" between Washington and Tehran has continued for more than six years.  No sensible person doubts Obama's willingness to be generous to the Iranians. (snip)

I don't think they were dragged to the negotiating table by "biting sanctions," even though the sanctions hurt the Iranian people and sensitive parts of the economy. Their nuclear activity has increased as sanctions tightened, and Iranian military activity in Iraq and Syria is mounting. These matter much more to Khamenei than a chicken shortage in the markets.

The only reasonable goal is pursue regime change in Tehran. Enlisting Khameni to fight against ISIS is a fool’s errand. Khameni has his own reasons for fighting ISIS, because he wants to preserve his ally Assad’s regime. ISIS is far less a threat to the United States than the mullahs in Tehran.

Ledeen points out that there is a precedent for dealing with Iran:   

Regime change is a political strategy, not a military campaign. Its main weapons are words and dollars, not drones and special forces. There are plenty of people in this country who conducted such a campaign against the Soviet Empire, which was far more formidable than the Islamic Republic of Iran.

It took a Ronald Reagan to pursue this policy.  It will take a new president with Reaganesque vision and guts to bring down the mullahs.  And that is far from a sure thing in 2016.

There are no burning stores or vehicles to illustrate the drama of what just happened in the cave-in to Iran that the “extension” of talks on its nuclear enrichment program represents.  The suspended sanctions continue to be suspended, amounting to a $700 million a month gift to Ayatollah Khamenei, in the estimate of Michael Ledeen, while the centrifuges continue to whirl, producing more precursors to the nuclear arsenal Khamenei wants to use to destroy the Great Satan (us) and the Little Satan (Israel).

Khamenei’s game and America’s role as patsy are explained by Ledeen in a must-read Weekly Standard post.  Read the whole thing.  Some excerpts:

Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei walked us right up to the finish line, spat on us, and walked away. Months and months of secret and public talks, letters, back channels, and gestures produced nothing of the sort the president, assorted foreign ministers, pundits, and politicians had been predicting. Instead we are to keep talking, and keep paying the Islamic Republic for the pleasure and privilege. (snip)

Obama has been pursuing a strategic alliance with Iran since 2008, well before his inauguration and even before his election. During the election campaign he quietly dispatched retired Ambassador William Miller to Tehran to inform the mullahs that a new era in Iranian-American relations was about to begin, and the "dialogue" between Washington and Tehran has continued for more than six years.  No sensible person doubts Obama's willingness to be generous to the Iranians. (snip)

I don't think they were dragged to the negotiating table by "biting sanctions," even though the sanctions hurt the Iranian people and sensitive parts of the economy. Their nuclear activity has increased as sanctions tightened, and Iranian military activity in Iraq and Syria is mounting. These matter much more to Khamenei than a chicken shortage in the markets.

The only reasonable goal is pursue regime change in Tehran. Enlisting Khameni to fight against ISIS is a fool’s errand. Khameni has his own reasons for fighting ISIS, because he wants to preserve his ally Assad’s regime. ISIS is far less a threat to the United States than the mullahs in Tehran.

Ledeen points out that there is a precedent for dealing with Iran:   

Regime change is a political strategy, not a military campaign. Its main weapons are words and dollars, not drones and special forces. There are plenty of people in this country who conducted such a campaign against the Soviet Empire, which was far more formidable than the Islamic Republic of Iran.

It took a Ronald Reagan to pursue this policy.  It will take a new president with Reaganesque vision and guts to bring down the mullahs.  And that is far from a sure thing in 2016.