Think Tank Question: Russia is to the Ukraine as China is to what?
Embolden and agitated, but agitated by actions initiated by themselves. Clever ploys?
No. History is rife with staged provocations. Gulf of Tonkin, the Panay, the opening shots of the Mexican War, and the Greer incident in 1941. Of late, entering a country such as Ukraine to protect Russian speaking people. These actions are formulamatic. If Obama had studied American history, he might recognize the game board.
Obama has a few years left in office and therefore his mission of jamming through the Obama/ Holder domestic agenda onto the American landscape is on the clock. Because President Obama has a few years remaining, Russia and China are also on a time schedule.
The Community Organizer was to rely on Joe Biden and Senator Lugar for foreign relations guidance. His Secretary of State was Bill Clinton’s jilted wife who had more interest in padding her Foundation and racking up mileage points than diplomatic achievement. The Obama foreign policy became “come on guys," a Rodney King “can’t we all get along”," or just a “kum ba ya” group hug.
Russia has now pushed the agenda envelope by steadily and increasingly implementing Putin’s plan via Ukraine and Crimea. The pushback by the world, or lack thereof, and the United States is for all to see. China observes, and now seems to engage in the same game, emboldened by the non response of the world to Putin’s antics.
Taiwan is China’s Ukraine. The gambit is to test the waters with Vietnam. In all likelihood China will confront Vietnam in a veiled excuse to protect Chinese citizens and “interests." (sound familiar?) The Vietnamese have already begun to react by burning Chinese owned factories in their country in response to China’s calculated oil rig infringement into Vietnam waters. China pushes as Putin pushed.
Unlike Japan, Vietnam doesn’t have any treaty with the United States regarding guaranteed protections.
Bottom line is the situation in which we find the world. Anachronistic treaties and promises presently in an era of American hegemony decline and complete with encouraged and empowered opponents. We have, as the saying goes…”Written checks that can no longer be cashed.”
Defend Japan? Defend South Korea? Defend Ukraine? We are stretched too thin and too few stand with us. The “old days” are over, complimented by the decline in the US economy and the newly acquired economic powers of China. The goal is Taiwan and who is to say “no”?