Obviously, nobody can be sure what happened to Malaysian Airlines flight MH370.  That does not mean, however, that some explanations are more likely to be true than others. For example, it is exceedingly unlikely that the flight was “abducted” by a UFO. Most everyone will agree that it is rational to rule that hypothesis out. Criminologists do not just pluck a subjectively preferred hypothesis out of thin air and then ramble about it. Rather, criminologists apply probabilistic/statistical reasoning to the analysis of empirical data. A few sentences should suffice to give a sense of why, at present, the hypothesis that MH370 was stolen fits the available evidence the best. Clearly, I am not going to argue that the theft hypothesis is certainly true, nor am I going to argue that it is the only hypothesis worth considering.  I am simply going to offer good, empirically based reasons for holding that at present it offers the best explanation of...(Read Full Post)