The GOP is looking good but the election is still 9 months away

The latest Obamacare mandate delay is further evidence that the law is an "unsustainable political burden" on Democrats in 2014.   This is good news for the GOP.  At the same time, we are not there yet. There are still 9 months of tough campaigning ahead.  Be careful about underestimating the Democrats' machine to get voters out the vote.  Or, their ability to place the race over and often. We begin with 4 obvious pick ups:  Arkansas, Montana, West Virginia and South Dakota.    The next group is very likely but it will require a strong GOP candidate:  Louisiana, North Carolina and Alaska.  The 3 Democrat incumbents will play "the race card," especially in Louisiana and North Carolina.  Get ready for a vicious campaign. That's 7. It takes a net pick up of 6!  The next group is Michigan and Iowa, a couple that could go GOP because there are Democrats retiring.   There is a strong...(Read Full Post)

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