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January 17, 2013
Algeria may call for outside military help in hostage crisis (Update: 35 hostages killed in attack by army)Algeria has been in talks for the last 24 hours with France and the US, trying to decide whether they need foreign military help to resolve a hostage crisis where al-Qaeda affiliated terrorists kidnapped up to 41 westerners at a natural gas complex. The exact number of hostages is unknown. It is believe that a sizable number slipped away and escaped, but that the terrorists still hold at least 25.
This is the law of unintended consequences writ large. The Mali conflict is a direct result of al-Qaeda terrorists being armed when they fought as rebels in the Libya civil war and then moving into northern Mali where another civil war was already underway. They quickly brushed aside the Tuareg tribesmen fighting the government and established themselves as the major opposition. Their goal: carve out an independent state from where they can strike at the heart of west Africa's economic interests. France intervened and now as a consequence, al-Qaeda is striking back at western interests in the region - including the gas complex in Algeria. One wonders if we are repeating our Libya mistake in Syria - with possible fallout for Iraq, Jordan, and especially Lebanon and Israel in the offing.
Thomas Lifson adds:
Algeria is vitally dependent on facilities like the In Amenis complex of nearly 50 gas fields, production facilities, pipeline, and housing complex. It is the fourth largest gas production facility in Algeria. Adam Nossiter and Scott Sayare in the New York Times tell us that "a third of the country's gross domestic product, over 95 percent of its export earnings and 60 percent of government financial receipts" come from oil and gas.
Targeting these facilities could cripple Algeria.
Stuck out in the desert, such complexes are vulnerable to attack, banditry, and abductions, and in fact, according to the Times, the abductions "doubled, at least, the number of non-African hostages that Islamist militants in northern and western Africa have been using as bargaining chips to finance themselves in recent years through ransoms that have totaled millions of dollars."
The gangs roaming the desert that combine jihad and criminality in varying proportions have, in other words, been receiving protection money, but now jihad is taking over, with this larger and more lethal geopolitical move. UPDATE AP is reporting that an attack by an Algerian helicopter on a vehicle being used by the terrorists in the gas complex has resulted in the deaths of 35 hostages and 15 terrorists:
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