Public Sobriety on "Post-Arab Spring" Egypt
On the heels of Egyptian President Morsi's recent consolidation of power, polling data from a survey of 1,000 Likely Voters by Rasmussen Reports, conducted November 26-27, 2012, reveal once again that the American public is appropriately sober about what the much-ballyhooed Arab Spring "transitions" have wrought.
A mere 12% of voters currently believe the change in the government of Egypt resulting from last year's Arab Spring protests has been positive for the United States. Just over three times as many (37%) view the forced abdication of longtime secular-leaning despot Hosni Mubarak, followed by the Islamic traditionalist Muslim Brotherhood's popular electoral triumph and government takeover, as negative for America. This contrasts rather strikingly with polling data from February 2011, in the immediate aftermath of Mubarak's overthrow, when 29% viewed the change in the government of Egypt as beneficial for the United States, while only 20% considered it a negative outcome.
Additionally, just 14% of voters now consider Egypt to be an American ally, while an equivalent number (15%) describe the Arab Muslim country as an enemy. Barely over two years ago, 42% of Americans considered Egypt a U.S. ally, while only eight percent (8%) regarded it as an enemy.
Thirty-five percent (35%) of voters now believe Egypt is likely to become a free, democratic and peaceful nation in the next few years -- a decline from 54% during February 2011. At present, forty-seven percent (47%) consider that Egypt is unlikely to become a free, democratic and peaceful state in the near future.