With 23 Democrat Senate seats and only 10 Republican seats up for election this year, a Republican Senate majority was supposed to be within easy reach. The only question was how big a majority. But with about six weeks until the election, a disturbing picture of the Senatorial elections is emerging. The Real Clear Politics (RCP) Senate map shows Republicans picking up just one seat, taking the Senate from the current 53-47 Democrat to 52-48 Democrat. The RCP projection has Republicans picking up North Dakota, Nebraska and Montana, but losing Massachusetts and Maine. Even Montana is a very close race, with the Democrat incumbent Jon Tester within one point of the challenger, Denny Rehberg. Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown is still within a few points of class warrior Elizabeth Warren, but Warren has a big fundraising advantage from the left-wing Democrat base. And in other close races RCP polling data gives the nod to the Democrat in Connecticut, Virginia and Wisconsin. If those three go Republican, then the balance tips to....
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