Recall results show a deeply divided electorate

In Wisconsin, the preliminary gubernatorial recall results showed a deeply divided electorate in the Badger State. The deep blue (Democrat) counties went heavily against Walker, and the deep red (Republican) counties went strongly against Barrett. How intense is this polarization?

Here are the percentage results from six key Wisconsin counties, from the Reagan-Mondale Presidential results in 1984 as compared to Walker- Barrett last night.

Counties:

Reagan 1984

 Mondale       1984

Walker   2012

Barrett 2012

Walker

vs. Reagan

Barrett

vs. Mondale

 Dane

       44

      56

  31

  69

    -13

    +13

 Milwaukee

       43

      56

  37

  63

      -5

      +7

 Racine

       53

      46

  59

  41

      +6

       -5

 Ozaukee

       68

      31

  71

  29

      +4

       -2

 Washington

       66

      35

  75

  24

    +11

      -11

 Waukesha

       66

      34

  72

  27

      +6

        -7

State Wide

       55

      44

  53

  46

       -2

       +2

The red counties went deeper for Walker than they did for Reagan, and the blue counties went far deeper for Barrett than Mondale, and middle of the road Racine, the independent swing vote, went, hands down, to the Walker camp.

This is a pretty positive preview of the November election. The independent vote seems to running to right this year. But before the GOP can start thinking about chilling the champagne, conservatives should carefully consider that the liberal base still turned out in very respectable numbers in support of Barrett.



In Wisconsin, the preliminary gubernatorial recall results showed a deeply divided electorate in the Badger State. The deep blue (Democrat) counties went heavily against Walker, and the deep red (Republican) counties went strongly against Barrett. How intense is this polarization?

Here are the percentage results from six key Wisconsin counties, from the Reagan-Mondale Presidential results in 1984 as compared to Walker- Barrett last night.

Counties:

Reagan 1984

 Mondale       1984

Walker   2012

Barrett 2012

Walker

vs. Reagan

Barrett

vs. Mondale

 Dane

       44

      56

  31

  69

    -13

    +13

 Milwaukee

       43

      56

  37

  63

      -5

      +7

 Racine

       53

      46

  59

  41

      +6

       -5

 Ozaukee

       68

      31

  71

  29

      +4

       -2

 Washington

       66

      35

  75

  24

    +11

      -11

 Waukesha

       66

      34

  72

  27

      +6

        -7

State Wide

       55

      44

  53

  46

       -2

       +2

The red counties went deeper for Walker than they did for Reagan, and the blue counties went far deeper for Barrett than Mondale, and middle of the road Racine, the independent swing vote, went, hands down, to the Walker camp.

This is a pretty positive preview of the November election. The independent vote seems to running to right this year. But before the GOP can start thinking about chilling the champagne, conservatives should carefully consider that the liberal base still turned out in very respectable numbers in support of Barrett.



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