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June 12, 2012
Is Obama's black support tanking?Public Policy Polling, a Democrat-leaning organization is out with a new poll of blacks in North reporting that Mitt Romney would get 20% of the black vote in the Tar Heel State. Business Insider, in analyzing the poll, writes: Obama received 95 percent of the support from African-Americans in North Carolina in the 2008 election, compared with just 5 percent for Republican nominee John McCain. All of Obama's numbers with African-Americans are sliding. His approval rating is down from 86 percent to 77 percent. Romney's favorability, meanwhile, has doubled from 9 percent to 18 percent. Jim Williams, a polling analyst at PPP, said it could be "statistical noise" that comes with a small sample (only about 200 African-Americans were surveyed). But he said it was not something the agency has "ever seen before." Curiously, neither BI nor its expert mentioned Obama's Biden-triggered evolution on gay marriage as a factor in the decline of black support for the president. Evolution's a good thing, right? Could it be that black turnout might plummet if a sizable segment of the black community decided that gay marriage was a make-or-break issue for them? It would turn into an even deeper nightmare that I discussed yesterday, and that leads me to believe that pressure is building to get Obama off the ticket. Whether it will succeed or even becoime visible to the public are separate questions.
Lauri Regan emails what she calls "Happy Tuesday Headlines" from Drudge:
If Democrats see a disaster unfolding, it will certainly make for an interesting political season, even if I am dead wrong about anyone even thinking of finding a way to save themselves by dumping O. |
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