Final polls give AZ to Romney while MI is too close to call

Mitt Romney enjoys a double digit lead in the polls in Arizona today but is in trouble in Michigan. Nate Silver: Since we ran the Michigan numbers early Monday morning, three new polls are out that make the state look more like a true toss-up and less like one that favors Mr. Romney. Two of the surveys, from Mitchell Research and American Research Group, in fact give Rick Santorum a nominal lead in Michigan, by 2 and 1 percentage points respectively. The third, from Rasmussen Reports, gives Mr. Romney a 2-point advantage. We also added a hard-to-track down survey from Baydoun Consulting, which gave Mr. Romney an 8-point advantage. However, it is less recent than the others, having been conducted on Thursday night rather than over the weekend. Among the five polls that were conducted over the weekend -- including those that had been included with the previous update -- three give Mr. Romney a small lead while two show an edge for Mr. Santorum. Mr. Romney still has the advantage...(Read Full Post)