This will be one of the most closely watched races in the country. Brow is acquitting himself quite well so far and both candidates will have tons of outside money, making this race one of the most expensive this election cycle.
The most recent Suffolk poll has Scott Brown surging past Warren into a decisive lead. Wall Street Journal:
Republican Sen. Scott Brown holds a decisive lead over Democrat Elizabeth Warren in the race for U.S. Senate in Massachusetts. According to a new Suffolk University/7NEWS (WHDH-Boston) survey, the freshman senator garners 49% of the vote -- nine points ahead of his main Democratic rival. It's the first time a poll put Mr. Brown in the lead since last fall. Suffolk University was also the first to show Mr. Brown ahead in 2010 when he upset state Attorney General Martha Coakley.
That upset was driven largely by the independent vote. And the new poll shows Mr. Brown again heavily drawing his support from this group of voters. Among the 52% of respondents who identified themselves as independent, 60% supported Mr. Brown while only 28% supported Ms. Warren.
The survey suggests there's a reason independent voters favor the Massachusetts senator. And it has to do with the perception of Ms. Warren as a liberal Democrat. When asked what word first came to mind when respondents heard the name Elizabeth Warren, "liberal" was a top reply. On the other hand when asked what came to mind when they heard the name Scott Brown, "independent" and "fair/fair person" were among the top responses.
Mr. Brown is working hard to earn both those titles. He even invoked the name of late-Sen. Ted Kennedy in the most recent debate over whether religious institutions should be forced to provide contraception services to employees. In an email to supporters, Mr. Brown quoted a 2009 letter Mr. Kennedy wrote to Pope Benedict XVI which assured Rome that "conscience protection for Catholics in the healthcare field" would be a part of any national health-care policy.
As long as Brown continues to pound away at Warren's obvious extremism - even for Massachusetts - the indies will probably stick with him and give him a full term.