A new ABC/Washington Post poll shows that only 37% of Americans expect Barack Obama to be re-elected: Just 37 percent in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll say they expect Obama to win re-election in November 2012; 55 percent instead expect the eventual Republican nominee to win. ABC's George Stephanopoulos is asking the president about that result in an interview today. It's a challenging finding for the president because expectations can fuel voter enthusiasm - precisely the ingredient that led the GOP to its broad success in the 2010 midterms, when charged-up conservatives turned out while dispirited Democrats stayed home. Democrats do expect Obama to win, but they say so only by 58-33 percent - a comparatively tepid vote of confidence within his own party. Republicans, by contrast, smell victory by a vast 83-13 percent. And independents - the linchpin of national politics - by 54-36 percent expect the Republican candidate to beat Obama. This poll, produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates, finds that the divisions among ideological....
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