It is likely that the president will be ahead by election day, 2012, but this PPP Connecticut poll - a Democratic leaning pollster - should open some eyes among Democrats around the country: Connecticut isn't a place that would go on anybody's list of swing states but Barack Obama is in a statistical tie with Mitt Romney there, leading only 47-45. Obama's poor showing in Connecticut is mostly a function of his own unpopularity. Despite having won it by 23 points in 2008 his approval numbers are now under water at 48/49. That represents a 17 point net shift in the wrong direction since PPP last polled the state in March- at that time Obama's approval was a positive 55/39 spread. The decline has come because he's unpopular with independents (41/53) and also because an unusually high 20% of Democrats disapprove of the job he's doing. Romney's favorability is 41/42, not great numbers but better than he is doing in most states. In the head to head with Obama he....
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