I think this is a reflection of incompetent leadership in the NRCC rather than any straw in the wind about how the 2012 House races will shake out.
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) outraised the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) in August and narrowly leads it in overall fundraising for the year to date.
The DCCC raised $3.6 million last month to the NRCC's $3 million. For 2011, the DCCC has raised $41.3 million to the NRCC's $40.4 million, although it trails the NRCC in cash on hand.It is unusual for the minority party to outraise the party in power.
The NRCC came into the year with considerably less debt and has $11.7 million cash on hand with $2.5 million in debt, while the DCCC has $7.8 million in the bank and owes $3.3 million.
Because of new campaign finance regulations stemming from a 2010 Supreme Court decision, the two aren't the only players in House races. And they might end up having less of an impact because of the role of outside groups like the Republican-affiliated American Crossroads and American Action Network and the Democrat-affiliated House Majority PAC.
It shouldn't even be close. If 2012 is going to be another Republican year, the NRCC should be dominating the Democrats. The fact that it isn't shows that the leadership is not taking advantage of the situation.
Too late to change Rep. Pete Sessions as NRCC chairman, so they will have to muddle through and hope that outside groups and the candidates themselves can make up the slack.