John Podhoretz waxes enthusiastic in Commentary, euphoric with the numbers in the final Gallup generic ballot poll this cycle giving the GOP an edge of between 10 and 15 points, depending on turnout.  Some generic polls have widened a bit lately (CNN, Fox, Rasmussen), while Gallup's numbers have been in this range for weeks. If there is a late surge to GOP among independents,  keep in mind that 1/3 of Americans who will vote  have  already voted. Many of the polls could overstate the GOP edge slightly due to the absence of cell phones in their surveys. Gallup does include them, Rasmussen  does not. I think it will be a very good day for the GOP, but is a 15-20 point edge in the House vote possible? I don't think it will happen. If it does, Barney Frank, and Dennis  Kucinich will lose. If the GOP had a 15-20 point edge, Harry Reid would not be fighting so hard in in Nevada. He would be done and buried. Podhoretz suggests the GOP in a blowout night...(Read Full Post)