John Raese is ahead of Joe Manchin West Virginia by 2% in a new survey (his second lead in a poll in recent days). Richard Blumenthal's lead over Linda McMahon is down to 3% (Quinnipiac) to 5% (Rasmusssen) in two new polls in Connecticut. West Virginia is an inexpensive media state, and the GOP is pouring money in to help Raese. Connecticut is an expensive media state, but McMahon is self-funded.  Dino Rossi is back almost even in Washington State -- one point back of Patty Murray in one poll, two points in another. All three races are very much in play (Real Clear Politics considers them all tossups)  Throw in North Dakota, Arkansas, Indiana, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, where GOP candidates have solid leads, Colorado (narrow GOP lead), Nevada ( a tie),  Illinois (narrow GOP lead), and you get 11 possible pickups. This does not include California, where Barbara Boxer has opened up a decent sized lead, or New York, where Kirsten Gillibrand may yet have a competitive...(Read Full Post)