More good news on Senate polling

Dan Gordon and Richard Baehr
Public Policy Polling, a Democrat-leaning organization, finds Mark Kirk ahead in the Illinois Senate race by 40% to 36% over Alexi Giannoulias. It is a small sample of likely voters (470), but by solid polling organization.

Illinois voters do not like either candidate  -- by 3 to 2 margins. All of the ads on TV are  negative, some pretty tough. Ed Lasky adds that Alexi G's TV commercials are ubiquitous and quite effective. Kirk's banner ads on the net are far more numerous than Alexi G.

Kirk hurt himself by his resume padding.  His favorable/unfavorable would be much better had this not happened.   The good news is that every poll taken in last few weeks shows Kirk up by between 2 and 4. The race now leans slightly his way, though it is certainly not locked up. Nate Silver rates Kirk as having about a 55% shot at winning, which seems about right.  A good thing he is running against a total loser.

More good news from Rasmussen polling on the Colorado Senate Race:

For the first time, Republican challenger Ken Buck now captures more than 50% of the vote in his U.S. Senate bid against Democratic incumbent Michael Bennet in Colorado.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Colorado shows Buck with 51% support, while Bennet earns 43% of the vote with leaners included. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) remain undecided. 

And Rasmusssen finds in Iowa:

Longtime Iowa Senator Chuck Grassley continues to outpace Democratic challenger Roxanne Conlin in his bid for a sixth term in the U.S. Senate.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Iowa Voters finds the Republican incumbent earning 55% of the vote. Conlin receives support from 37%.  Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate in the race, while five percent (5%) are still undecided.

Public Policy Polling, a Democrat-leaning organization, finds Mark Kirk ahead in the Illinois Senate race by 40% to 36% over Alexi Giannoulias. It is a small sample of likely voters (470), but by solid polling organization.

Illinois voters do not like either candidate  -- by 3 to 2 margins. All of the ads on TV are  negative, some pretty tough. Ed Lasky adds that Alexi G's TV commercials are ubiquitous and quite effective. Kirk's banner ads on the net are far more numerous than Alexi G.

Kirk hurt himself by his resume padding.  His favorable/unfavorable would be much better had this not happened.   The good news is that every poll taken in last few weeks shows Kirk up by between 2 and 4. The race now leans slightly his way, though it is certainly not locked up. Nate Silver rates Kirk as having about a 55% shot at winning, which seems about right.  A good thing he is running against a total loser.

More good news from Rasmussen polling on the Colorado Senate Race:

For the first time, Republican challenger Ken Buck now captures more than 50% of the vote in his U.S. Senate bid against Democratic incumbent Michael Bennet in Colorado.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Colorado shows Buck with 51% support, while Bennet earns 43% of the vote with leaners included. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) remain undecided. 

And Rasmusssen finds in Iowa:

Longtime Iowa Senator Chuck Grassley continues to outpace Democratic challenger Roxanne Conlin in his bid for a sixth term in the U.S. Senate.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Iowa Voters finds the Republican incumbent earning 55% of the vote. Conlin receives support from 37%.  Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate in the race, while five percent (5%) are still undecided.