Flirting with the Teens (updated)

Do you suppose anyone in the White House or the state-controlled media organ has run the latest presidential approval numbers where the daily Rasmussen tracking poll has Obama's strongly approve rating at 24% to calculate what that actually means? Let's suppose that the polling sample represents the actual ethnic makeup of the country so that Blacks represent 12%-13% of the results. Then consider that if blacks respond in the Rasmussen poll in the same percentages the support Obama in most polls, that is the 90% range, that means that approximately 2.7% of that 24% is represented by his most supportive core constituency.

So what, you say? Well, that means that Mr. Hopenchange is now as regards the rest of the poll sampling, flirting with a strongly approve rating in the teens; and at the rate he's going now, it won't be long till he's there. Include the same formula for Hispanics and he already is, which leaves us with the knowledge that more than 80% of America holds some lesser opinion of its president than strongly approve, ranging from strongly disapprove to who gives a rat's butt.

When "Big O" falls below the "Big Two-Oh," think the media will tell us so?  

Richard Baehr adds:
 
If 24% strongly approve of Obama, and 47% strongly disapprove, and blacks are 12% of all Americans, and are 90% strongly approve, then 11 of the 24 strongly approve comes from blacks, not 2.7 as Vaughn calculates. Hence, without blacks, the numbers might be 13% strongly approve, 46% strongly disapprove. To get back to a 100% sample, since these numbers reflect 12% of population excluded, it means for non-blacks, maybe 15% strongly approve, and 52% or so strongly disapprove. The Iraq speech was clearly not helpful. Nor was returning from vacation. 

Do you suppose anyone in the White House or the state-controlled media organ has run the latest presidential approval numbers where the daily Rasmussen tracking poll has Obama's strongly approve rating at 24% to calculate what that actually means? Let's suppose that the polling sample represents the actual ethnic makeup of the country so that Blacks represent 12%-13% of the results. Then consider that if blacks respond in the Rasmussen poll in the same percentages the support Obama in most polls, that is the 90% range, that means that approximately 2.7% of that 24% is represented by his most supportive core constituency.

So what, you say? Well, that means that Mr. Hopenchange is now as regards the rest of the poll sampling, flirting with a strongly approve rating in the teens; and at the rate he's going now, it won't be long till he's there. Include the same formula for Hispanics and he already is, which leaves us with the knowledge that more than 80% of America holds some lesser opinion of its president than strongly approve, ranging from strongly disapprove to who gives a rat's butt.

When "Big O" falls below the "Big Two-Oh," think the media will tell us so?  

Richard Baehr adds:
 
If 24% strongly approve of Obama, and 47% strongly disapprove, and blacks are 12% of all Americans, and are 90% strongly approve, then 11 of the 24 strongly approve comes from blacks, not 2.7 as Vaughn calculates. Hence, without blacks, the numbers might be 13% strongly approve, 46% strongly disapprove. To get back to a 100% sample, since these numbers reflect 12% of population excluded, it means for non-blacks, maybe 15% strongly approve, and 52% or so strongly disapprove. The Iraq speech was clearly not helpful. Nor was returning from vacation. 

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