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July 7, 2010
Obama approval among independents: 38%
With 95% of African Americans still supporting him, the president's overall approval number according to Gallup is 46%. That's with 81% of Democrats supporting him too. (Only 12% of Republicans are brain dead enough to approve of him.)
But those numbers for independents are now in George Bush territory; just 38% think the president is doing a good job.
Over the past year, Obama has lost support among all party groups, though the decline has been steeper among independents than among Republicans or Democrats. Today's 38% approval rating among independents is 18 percentage points lower than the 56% found July 6-12, 2009. During the same period, his support has fallen nine points among Democrats (from 90% to 81%) and eight points among Republicans (from 20% to 12%).
Overall, 46% of Americans approve of the job Obama is doing as president in the June 28-July 4 aggregate, one point above his lowest weekly average. Obama's average weekly job approval rating has not been above 50% since Feb. 8-14, though it reached the 50% mark as recently as May 3-9.
Obama's lower ratings come amid a still-struggling economy, the ongoing difficulties presented by the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico, and the recent change of command in the war in Afghanistan. Underscoring the challenge at hand, Obama's 44% approval rating in July 2-5 polling (Gallup did not interview July 4) ties his lowest three-day average to date.
Gallup points out that other presidents suffered similar downturns in their popularity by July of their second year in office. They also mention that those presidents' parties suffered big losses the following November.
We can only hope that stays true to form.