Latest Obama poll from Rasmussen
While Obama's numbers have been tanking consistently for months, today's figure is stunning. Gee, let's see what could have caused it.
In Rasmussen's rolling methodology, today's numbers include Monday's polling results while Friday's results were phased out. The main political event between Friday and Monday was the Senate passage of the "Nebraska Care" plan.
Hope and Change is not working out so well either, as the President who was going to heal all our divides is finding that we are more divided than ever on race and gender:
Fifty-three percent (53%) of men Strongly Disapprove along with 39% of women. Most African-American voters (58%) Strongly Approve while most white voters (53%) Strongly Disapprove.
Seventy-four percent (74%) of Republicans Strongly Disapprove as do 52% of unaffiliated voters. Forty-seven percent (47%) of Democrats Strongly Approve.
That "post-partisan" thing is not playing out so well either, as the country is sharply divided between the parties:
Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Democrats approve while 88% of Republicans and 62% of unaffiliated voters disapprove.
In addition, Obama's sour numbers have reached a critical mass element in soft and hard approvals:
Overall, 44% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President's performance. Fifty-six percent (56%) now disapprove.
This is the first time he has been underwater by double digits in the overall approval index. It also marks the first time that the "strong disapprovals" outweigh all approval, strong and otherwise. That is 46 to 44%. That gives us yet another index: the "Deep Doo Doo" index of minus 2.
Snapshot of key C. Edmund Wright Indexes:
Give A Damn Index -25
This index measures the percentage of overall support that is strong versus overall dissent that is strong. 83% of those disapproving do so strongly, while only 58% of the support is firm. If this is negative, then the most likely movement from here is downward. We have been accurate on this for months.
Deep Doo Doo Index -2
This is a new index, measuring all overall support versus just the strong dissent. If this number is not a high positive, the President is in, well, deep doo doo.
Get A Clue Index -19
This compares the one legitimate polling sample - likely voters - versus the lowest denominator of polling samples: merely adults. The ten polls using only adults average a +7 while Rasmussen's overall number today is -12. That puts a 19 point gap between legitimate polls and those with an agenda.