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October 31, 2009
Scozzafava suspends her campaign for NY's 23rd District
The conservative base appears to have won a smashing victory, as the liberal GOP Nominee suspends her campaign, opening up a path to victory for conservative Doug Hoffman to win. The Watertown (NY) Times reports:
Dede Scozzafava, the Republican and Independence parties candidate, announced Saturday that she is suspending her campaign for the 23rd Congressional District and releasing all her supporters.
The state Assemblywoman has not thrown her support to either Doug Hoffman, the Conservative Party candidate, or Bill Owens, the Democratic candidate.
Scozzafava's letter to supporters (via Politico)
This follows GOP Chairman Michael Steele's endorsement of Hoffman, which may have had something to do with Scozzafava's choice. Whatever the sources of her move, Steele and Scozzafava demonstrate that the GOP establishment finally is getting a clue about the intensity of the base, and the need to stand up to the radical changes threatened by the Obama administration.
Once again, Sarah Palin, who was the first major figure to endorse Hoffman, gains in strength as a leader of the GOP.
Hat tip: Susan L and Clarice Feldman
The latest poll results for a three way race show that Hoffman was virtually tied with his Democrat opponent at 35 and 36 percent support, with Scozzafava’s support trailing at 20 percent. One must presume that her supporters, voters for the official GOP candidate, will mostly support Hoffman.
Hat tip: Lucianne.com
Richard Baehr adds:
I suspect there is some lingering bitterness on her part. She was an easy winner with Hoffman third at about 10%, until the campaign by conservatives began to back him and not her. Not all of her support will go to Hoffman. The Conservative Party in New York is not a natural home for all New York Republicans.
If her vote splits 2 to 1 for Hoffman, he wins by maybe 5%. If it breaks more decisively (say 3 to 1 or more), he wins by 10%. But she will still get votes with her name on the ballot. My guess is 5-10% of the total.